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20120924
20121002
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is opinions aside, and no entity. obama is ahead. all the polls in the key states, the battleground states, obama has a lead as well. the markets discounted an obama win, and as a result, this bullish for risk, and for oil as well. >> how high do you continuing crude could go? >> i think $96, $97. not because of an obama victory, but because of bifurcation economically around the world. oi. the split side, what happen fist we can have a romney victory. >> i think oil rallies in either case. if romney wins, it rallies more, because romney victory is risk conducive which would send oil higher. >> ho how big is the uncertaint? >> much less than a few months ago. the morkt has begun to sdounlt an obama victory. not because of political uncertainty, but more because of economic certains. >> once we get beyond the election, what will be the driver for crude? >> economic growth, hands down. fi. we look at the crude contracts >> one of the benefits of trading crew, is you can trade it on the front months and also the supply and demand five, six, sen, eight years down the road. if you look at crude
have to build that into our model and say that's not going to change. so if obama gets elected they stay in. if romeny gets elected which he won't then he can't necessarily change it so let's just build that those tax cuts are gonna expire at the end of the year period. the one thing that i can tell you that is very troublesome to me as i look at prices, as i look across as i look at hog prices priced for next summer, i look at cattle prices, i look at grain prices and that is that why is it that we ignore the food and energy component of cpi? so, i could be ben bernanke's speech writer because he says the same thing every time he goes in front of the senate is we don't see any particular problem with inflation. really, we don't corn prices just nearly double in three months. so, how is it there is no inflation? >> reporter: do you get any sense that the ethanol mandate is going to change under either administration under obama or if romney would get elected? >> well is sure seems like the word ethanol has turned into a pejorative and it's not exactly the most positive topic. i
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